The best tool you have in this job these days is experience. Look around you at the traders that you remember from this time last year,how many thought they could do this job but couldn't,I've seen hundreds over the years blow but when you talk to them individually a man to a boy not one will admit they were a failure,its one of the stiff upper lips bit things the British do that rattles my cage,admit you failed but you had a hoot as you burnt your savings,on the other edge of the scale there's 4traders near me working together but change their trading name every three months,I guess its to get round having stiffed their advertisers but now they have all used their names up where will they go next? sleeping partners?dodgy credit cards? I don't know,thing is why don't they just buy quality stock and stand by it rather than selling worn out shit at retail prices